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2024-12-13 04:30:12

On the evening of December 7th, Xinhua News Agency published an article "What do you think about the steady growth of monetary policy-the fifth question and answer on China's current economy". The article is concise, and the future monetary policy will continue to intensify counter-cyclical regulation and control, continuously improve the accuracy and effectiveness of supporting the real economy, and create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and structural optimization and adjustment.The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Friday's market was flat before 10:30, so the market enthusiasm was ignited again, thus the increase in volume broke through this triangle arrangement.


Securities Times article: Don't speculate on "homophonic stalks". Blind speculation is harmful to obtaining long-term investment returns. The official media have voiced their voices, which means that these chaos in the market will be standardized in the future, and it is also a kind of vigilance and protection for investors.This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.Before, we also said that a breakthrough here must be broken by a strong external force, and now the breakthrough stems from the important benefits that everyone has conveyed to the meeting. As long as the content of the meeting has not landed, such an expectation can be taken for a while, and the breakthrough here can also be regarded as an effective breakthrough.


The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Market aspectThe non-agricultural rebound in November in the United States exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate rose slightly, pushing up the probability of interest rate cuts this month.

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